Europe and Eurasia
Much remains unclear about the circumstances surrounding the crash of Malaysian Airlines Flight 17, but the tragedy internationalizes the conflict and may lead to a further deterioration of Russia's relations with the West.
Russian policy in Syria neglects long-term interests for short-term gains.
Turkish PM Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s recent statement on the events of 1915 is symbolically important, but is not a historical step that will lead to peace because Turks and Armenians have incompatible red lines and the Armenian side contains multiple actors
Policy makers should begin preparing contingency plans, ranging from humanitarian operations to international peacekeeping missions, in preparation for a potential collapse of Russian control over the North Caucasus within the next decade.